GGOALVIO

Real Sociedad logoReal SociedadvsPAU logoPAU

COMPLETED

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

PAU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Sociedad are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while PAU are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PAU hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while PAU holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

PAU

Probability

35.3%

Model confidence

35.3%

PAU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real SociedadDLDDL

GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 2/5
PAULLLWW

GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Real SociedadPAU
47.6Attack66.7
42.9Defence33.3
33.3Form44.4
43.4Power47.9
1.83xG1.83
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