Real Sociedadvs
PAU
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 7/11/2026, 9:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PAU · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Real Sociedad are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLDDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.80 conceded, while PAU are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and PAU hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (43.4 v 47.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.3% in the Friendlies Clubs, while PAU holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PAU
Probability
35.3%
Model confidence
35.3%
PAU has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 9 · avg 1.40/1.80
GF 8 · GA 14 · avg 1.60/2.80