GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División · 8/14/2026, 6:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Castellón · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Real Sociedad II are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Castellón are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Castellón hold a 3.9-point power-rating edge (45.1 v 49.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Segunda División, while Castellón holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Castellón

Probability

37.4%

Model confidence

13.6%

Castellón has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real Sociedad IILLLWL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
CastellónLDLDW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Real Sociedad IICastellón
41.3Attack51.6
51.6Defence50.0
37.3Form42.1
45.1Power49.0
1.31xG1.38
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