GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 1/23/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Real Santander are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (WLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Real Cartagena are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Cartagena hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (31.0 v 57.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.0% in the Primera B, while Real Cartagena holds the strongest overall chance at 66% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 37% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Cartagena

Probability

66.1%

Model confidence

16.0%

Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real SantanderWLLLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.40/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Real CartagenaDLWDD

GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real SantanderReal Cartagena
25.9Attack51.3
40.7Defence62.8
16.7Form56.4
31.0Power57.8
0.57xG1.81
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