GGOALVIO

Chile · Segunda División · 3/22/2026, 9:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real San Joaquín · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real San Joaquín are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Santiago City are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 2.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Santiago City hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (44.9 v 55.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 35.0% in the Segunda División, while Real San Joaquín holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real San Joaquín

Probability

35.0%

Model confidence

35.0%

Real San Joaquín has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real San JoaquínLDWLW

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Santiago CityLDLLD

GF 11 · GA 15 · avg 2.20/3.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real San JoaquínSantiago City
46.2Attack48.7
51.3Defence51.3
35.9Form59.0
44.9Power55.8
1.39xG1.35
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