GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/4/2026, 8:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-0

Highconfidence

Real Salt Lake are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (DWWWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Sporting Kansas City are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 27.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 80.3% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 80% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 52% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Salt Lake

Probability

80.3%

Model confidence

80.3%

Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real Salt LakeDWWWL

GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Sporting Kansas CityLWLDL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Real Salt LakeSporting Kansas City
55.6Attack31.6
51.9Defence15.8
51.9Form24.6
54.6Power27.5
3.22xG0.78
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