GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 4/19/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Salt Lake are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while San Diego are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (54.6 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.9% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Salt Lake

Probability

42.9%

Model confidence

42.9%

Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real Salt LakeWDWWW

GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
San DiegoLLDDW

GF 7 · GA 10 · avg 1.40/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Real Salt LakeSan Diego
55.6Attack57.9
51.9Defence49.1
51.9Form42.1
54.6Power49.6
1.87xG1.51
View match centre →