Real Salt Lakevs
Minnesota United FC
COMPLETEDUSA · Major League Soccer · 8/16/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Real Salt Lake are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Salt Lake
Probability
53.9%
Model confidence
12.4%
Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80