GGOALVIO

USA · Major League Soccer · 8/16/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Salt Lake · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Real Salt Lake are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WWDDL), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Minnesota United FC are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Salt Lake hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (55.1 v 47.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.4% in the Major League Soccer, while Real Salt Lake holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Salt Lake

Probability

53.9%

Model confidence

12.4%

Real Salt Lake has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real Salt LakeWWDDL

GF 10 · GA 4 · avg 2.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Minnesota United FCWDLDD

GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real Salt LakeMinnesota United FC
56.9Attack37.0
51.0Defence53.7
52.9Form44.4
55.1Power47.1
1.75xG0.98
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