GGOALVIO

Argentina · Primera B Metropolitana · 8/1/2026, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Pilar · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Pilar are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Defensores Unidos are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Pilar hold a 12.0-point power-rating edge (53.6 v 41.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.2% in the Primera B Metropolitana, while Real Pilar holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 27% BTTS chance and 20% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Pilar

Probability

39.2%

Model confidence

39.2%

Real Pilar has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real PilarWLLWD

GF 7 · GA 7 · avg 1.40/1.40

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Defensores UnidosDDLLD

GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
Real PilarDefensores Unidos
37.9Attack27.6
64.4Defence59.8
50.6Form29.9
53.6Power41.5
1.03xG0.52
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