GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 4/19/2026, 7:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Noroeste are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Tombense are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWLDW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Tombense hold a 17.1-point power-rating edge (39.7 v 56.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 33.6% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 17% BTTS chance and 10% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

43.9%

Model confidence

33.6%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real NoroesteLLDLW

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
TombenseWWLDW

GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Real NoroesteTombense
20.0Attack36.1
63.3Defence80.6
26.7Form50.0
39.7Power56.8
0.35xG0.76
View match centre →