GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/16/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Noroeste are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Rio Branco ES are 2W-3D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWD), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Rio Branco ES hold a 7.5-point power-rating edge (39.7 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.2% in the Serie D, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 21% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

42.2%

Model confidence

42.2%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real NoroesteWLLDL

GF 4 · GA 8 · avg 0.80/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Rio Branco ESDDWWD

GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real NoroesteRio Branco ES
20.0Attack44.4
63.3Defence55.6
26.7Form38.9
39.7Power47.2
0.67xG0.91
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