GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie D · 5/2/2026, 8:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Noroeste · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Noroeste are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LDLLD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Porto BA are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Noroeste hold a 4.9-point power-rating edge (39.7 v 34.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 43.1% in the Serie D, while Real Noroeste holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Noroeste

Probability

43.1%

Model confidence

43.1%

Real Noroeste has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real NoroesteLDLLD

GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Porto BALWLWL

GF 4 · GA 14 · avg 0.80/2.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
Real NoroestePorto BA
20.0Attack30.0
63.3Defence30.0
26.7Form33.3
39.7Power34.8
1.09xG0.60
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