Real MonarchsvsTacoma Defiance

Real Monarchs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Tacoma Defiance are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Tacoma Defiance hold a 9.7-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 49.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 39.8% in the MLS Next Pro, while Tacoma Defiance holds the strongest overall chance at 40% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.