GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/30/2026, 2:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Monarchs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Highconfidence

Real Monarchs are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWDLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Sporting KC II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Monarchs hold a 7.4-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 32.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.7% in the MLS Next Pro, while Real Monarchs holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Monarchs

Probability

56.7%

Model confidence

56.7%

Real Monarchs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real MonarchsWWDLL

GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Sporting KC IILLWLD

GF 6 · GA 13 · avg 1.20/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Real MonarchsSporting KC II
47.0Attack43.9
36.4Defence16.7
33.3Form28.8
40.0Power32.5
2.63xG1.54
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