GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/13/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Jose Earthquakes II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2

Highconfidence

Real Monarchs are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Jose Earthquakes II are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 3.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and San Jose Earthquakes II hold a 16.0-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 56.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 59.6% in the MLS Next Pro, while San Jose Earthquakes II holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Jose Earthquakes II

Probability

59.6%

Model confidence

59.6%

San Jose Earthquakes II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real MonarchsLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
San Jose Earthquakes IIWWLWW

GF 15 · GA 5 · avg 3.00/1.00

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Real MonarchsSan Jose Earthquakes II
47.0Attack65.0
36.4Defence58.3
33.3Form48.3
40.0Power56.0
1.23xG2.42
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