GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 8/14/2026, 9:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Minnesota United II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Real Monarchs are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLLW), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Minnesota United II are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Minnesota United II hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 46.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.3% in the MLS Next Pro, while Minnesota United II holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 63% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Minnesota United II

Probability

38.3%

Model confidence

11.3%

Minnesota United II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real MonarchsLLLLW

GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 4/5
Minnesota United IIDLLWL

GF 5 · GA 10 · avg 1.00/2.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Real MonarchsMinnesota United II
47.0Attack45.5
36.4Defence47.0
33.3Form42.4
40.0Power46.8
1.61xG1.66
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