GGOALVIO

USA · MLS Next Pro · 5/21/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Monarchs · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Monarchs are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (DLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Colorado Rapids II are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Monarchs hold an 8.4-point power-rating edge (40.0 v 31.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.2% in the MLS Next Pro, while Real Monarchs holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Monarchs

Probability

57.2%

Model confidence

57.2%

Real Monarchs has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real MonarchsDLLLL

GF 2 · GA 10 · avg 0.40/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Colorado Rapids IILLLDL

GF 4 · GA 11 · avg 0.80/2.20

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
Real MonarchsColorado Rapids II
47.0Attack29.0
36.4Defence36.2
33.3Form18.8
40.0Power31.5
2.03xG1.01
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