Real Madridvs
Fiorentina
COMPLETEDWorld · Friendlies Clubs · 8/1/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Fiorentina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Real Madrid are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWWWL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Fiorentina are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWD), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Fiorentina hold a 23.8-point power-rating edge (43.7 v 67.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.2% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Fiorentina holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 68% BTTS chance and 70% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Fiorentina
Probability
45.2%
Model confidence
45.2%
Fiorentina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 13 · GA 5 · avg 2.60/1.00