Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Jaén · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Real Jaén are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (DDWWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Cordoba are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Cordoba hold a 12.8-point power-rating edge (23.7 v 36.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Real Jaén holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 64% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Jaén
Probability
39.1%
Model confidence
11.8%
Real Jaén has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 4 · avg 1.40/0.80
GF 5 · GA 4 · avg 1.00/0.80