GGOALVIO

Nicaragua · Primera Division · 7/18/2026, 1:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Estelí · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Real Estelí are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDWDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.60 conceded, while UNAN Managua are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Estelí hold a 12.3-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 66.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.1% in the Primera Division, while Real Estelí holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 42% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Estelí

Probability

45.1%

Model confidence

45.1%

Real Estelí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real EstelíDDWDD

GF 5 · GA 3 · avg 1.00/0.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
UNAN ManaguaWWLDL

GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real EstelíUNAN Managua
66.7Attack41.7
83.3Defence83.3
83.3Form66.7
78.6Power66.3
1.44xG0.93
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