Real Estelívs
Matagalpa
COMPLETEDNicaragua · Primera Division · 7/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Estelí · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 2-0
Real Estelí are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DDDWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Matagalpa are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Estelí hold a 67.4-point power-rating edge (78.6 v 11.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.4% in the Primera Division, while Real Estelí holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 47% BTTS chance and 60% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Estelí
Probability
72.4%
Model confidence
72.4%
Real Estelí has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80