Real EstelívsAlianza

Real Estelí are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWD), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Alianza are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Estelí hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (88.7 v 83.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.7% in the CONCACAF Central American Cup, while Real Estelí holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 54% BTTS chance and 48% for over 2.5 goals.