Real Espanavs
Génesis
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 8/9/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Espana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Real Espana are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLWL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Génesis are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WLDWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Espana hold a 43.8-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.7% in the Liga Nacional, while Real Espana holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Espana
Probability
53.7%
Model confidence
53.7%
Real Espana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00