GGOALVIO

Honduras · Liga Nacional · 8/16/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Espana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

Real Espana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico Independiente are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Espana hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Liga Nacional, while Real Espana holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Espana

Probability

54.1%

Model confidence

12.8%

Real Espana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real EspanaWWDLW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico IndependienteWL

GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 1/2O2.5 1/2
Real EspanaAtletico Independiente
83.3Attack33.3
100.0Defence66.7
100.0Form50.0
94.8Power53.0
1.67xG0.90
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