Real Espanavs
Atletico Independiente
COMPLETEDHonduras · Liga Nacional · 8/16/2026, 1:30:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Espana · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Real Espana are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Atletico Independiente are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 7 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Espana hold a 41.8-point power-rating edge (94.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.8% in the Liga Nacional, while Real Espana holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 49% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Espana
Probability
54.1%
Model confidence
12.8%
Real Espana has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00
GF 2 · GA 2 · avg 1.00/1.00