GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 5/9/2026, 12:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Cartagena are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WDLLW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Union Magdalena are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWLW), averaging 2.00 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.7% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

37.7%

Model confidence

37.7%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real CartagenaWDLLW

GF 5 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Union MagdalenaWDWLW

GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Real CartagenaUnion Magdalena
51.3Attack50.7
62.8Defence71.0
56.4Form60.9
57.8Power62.0
0.94xG1.04
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