GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 3/23/2026, 1:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Union Magdalena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Cartagena are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Union Magdalena are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Union Magdalena hold a 4.1-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 62.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.1% in the Primera B, while Union Magdalena holds the strongest overall chance at 36% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 32% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Union Magdalena

Probability

35.8%

Model confidence

15.1%

Union Magdalena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real CartagenaDDWDL

GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Union MagdalenaWDWWW

GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Real CartagenaUnion Magdalena
51.3Attack50.7
62.8Defence71.0
56.4Form60.9
57.8Power62.0
0.94xG1.04
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