GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 7/26/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0

Highconfidence

Real Cartagena are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Real Santander are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.40 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Cartagena hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 31.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 72.3% in the Primera B, while Real Cartagena holds the strongest overall chance at 72% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 35% BTTS chance and 47% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Cartagena

Probability

72.3%

Model confidence

72.3%

Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real CartagenaLDLWW

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 4/5
Real SantanderLLLLL

GF 2 · GA 15 · avg 0.40/3.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 5/5
Real CartagenaReal Santander
51.3Attack25.9
62.8Defence40.7
56.4Form16.7
57.8Power31.0
2.12xG0.48
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