GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 3/6/2026, 11:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Real Cartagena are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (DLWWD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.00 conceded, while Orsomarso are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDW), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Cartagena hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 47.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.1% in the Primera B, while Real Cartagena holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 29% BTTS chance and 24% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Cartagena

Probability

46.1%

Model confidence

46.1%

Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real CartagenaDLWWD

GF 8 · GA 5 · avg 1.60/1.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
OrsomarsoLLDDW

GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Real CartagenaOrsomarso
51.3Attack27.5
62.8Defence66.7
56.4Form41.2
57.8Power47.2
1.14xG0.54
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