Real Cartagenavs
Leones FC
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 2/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0
Real Cartagena are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Leones FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Cartagena hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Primera B, while Real Cartagena holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Real Cartagena
Probability
62.2%
Model confidence
62.2%
Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40
GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80