GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 2/21/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Real Cartagena · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Real Cartagena are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded, while Leones FC are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDLD), averaging 0.40 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Real Cartagena hold a 19.5-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 62.2% in the Primera B, while Real Cartagena holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 31% BTTS chance and 34% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Real Cartagena

Probability

62.2%

Model confidence

62.2%

Real Cartagena has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real CartagenaWWDWW

GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
Leones FCLLDLD

GF 2 · GA 9 · avg 0.40/1.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
Real CartagenaLeones FC
51.3Attack20.4
62.8Defence53.7
56.4Form31.5
57.8Power38.3
1.62xG0.46
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