GGOALVIO

Colombia · Primera B · 3/11/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

Real Cartagena are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Internacional Palmira are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (DWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Internacional Palmira hold a 5.8-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 63.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 38.9% in the Primera B, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 38% BTTS chance and 29% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Draw

Probability

38.9%

Model confidence

38.9%

Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Real CartagenaWDLWW

GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Internacional PalmiraDWWWW

GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
Real CartagenaInternacional Palmira
51.3Attack47.2
62.8Defence72.2
56.4Form65.3
57.8Power63.7
0.90xG0.98
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