Real Cartagenavs
Ind. Yumbo
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 8/7/2026, 1:10:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Real Cartagena are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DDWLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Ind. Yumbo are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DWLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and real Cartagena hold a 4.8-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely result in the Primera B, favouring a draw with 21.5% confidence, a 31% BTTS chance and 22% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
37.4%
Model confidence
21.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00