Real Cartagenavs
Envigado
COMPLETEDColombia · Primera B · 5/26/2026, 1:00:00 AM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Envigado · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Real Cartagena are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Envigado are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WWDDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Envigado hold a 5.3-point power-rating edge (57.8 v 63.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 16.3% in the Primera B, while Envigado holds the strongest overall chance at 35% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 30% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Envigado
Probability
35.0%
Model confidence
16.3%
Envigado has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 5 · GA 1 · avg 1.00/0.20