Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Érdi VSE · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Érdi VSE are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Budaörs are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 3.20 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Érdi VSE hold an 18.0-point power-rating edge (60.9 v 42.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.6% in the NB III - Southwest, while Érdi VSE holds the strongest overall chance at 59% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 74% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Érdi VSE
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
8.6%
Érdi VSE has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 8 · avg 2.60/1.60
GF 16 · GA 2 · avg 3.20/0.40