GGOALVIO

World · Friendlies Clubs · 7/25/2026, 9:30:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Leipzig · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

RB Leipzig are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLWL), averaging 1.40 scored and 2.60 conceded, while FC Ingolstadt 04 are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and FC Ingolstadt 04 hold a 3.0-point power-rating edge (50.5 v 53.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 37.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while RB Leipzig holds the strongest overall chance at 38% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 58% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Leipzig

Probability

37.8%

Model confidence

37.8%

RB Leipzig has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RB LeipzigWLLWL

GF 7 · GA 13 · avg 1.40/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
FC Ingolstadt 04WWWWW

GF 12 · GA 2 · avg 2.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
RB LeipzigFC Ingolstadt 04
50.0Attack41.7
50.0Defence54.2
50.0Form62.5
50.5Power53.5
1.58xG1.29
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