GGOALVIO

Brazil · Serie A · 2/4/2026, 10:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

RB Bragantino · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0

Highconfidence

RB Bragantino are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Atletico-MG are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and RB Bragantino hold a 2.7-point power-rating edge (52.8 v 50.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 15.7% in the Serie A, while RB Bragantino holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 39% BTTS chance and 31% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

RB Bragantino

Probability

41.7%

Model confidence

15.7%

RB Bragantino has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RB BragantinoWLWLL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Atletico-MGDWLLD

GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
RB BragantinoAtletico-MG
40.9Attack42.9
65.2Defence57.1
48.5Form46.0
52.8Power50.1
1.13xG0.81
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