Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Ravshan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 2-0
Ravshan are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Eskhata are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Ravshan hold a 10.7-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 39.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 57.9% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Ravshan holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 49% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Ravshan
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
57.9%
Ravshan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40