GGOALVIO

Tajikistan · Vysshaya Liga · 3/15/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Ravshan · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Ravshan are 0W-4D-1L in their last 5 (DDDLD), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Barki Tajik are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (LLDDD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Ravshan hold a 3.1-point power-rating edge (50.1 v 47.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 45.6% in the Vysshaya Liga, while Ravshan holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 43% BTTS chance and 38% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Ravshan

Probability

45.6%

Model confidence

45.6%

Ravshan has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RavshanDDDLD

GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Barki TajikLLDDD

GF 3 · GA 6 · avg 0.60/1.20

BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
RavshanBarki Tajik
40.5Attack42.9
64.3Defence47.6
42.9Form42.9
50.1Power47.0
1.37xG0.83
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