Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raufoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Raufoss are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LWLLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.40 conceded, while Strommen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 33.2 against 33.3. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the 1. Division, while Raufoss holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 77% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Raufoss
Probability
43.0%
Model confidence
7.9%
Raufoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 17 · avg 1.40/3.40
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80