Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sogndal · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
Raufoss are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLLWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.80 conceded, while Sogndal are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDD), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and Sogndal hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 38.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.9% in the 1. Division, while Sogndal holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 83% BTTS chance and 86% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Sogndal
Probability
44.9%
Model confidence
44.9%
Sogndal has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 14 · avg 1.80/2.80
GF 9 · GA 12 · avg 1.80/2.40