Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raufoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Raufoss are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (DLWDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Mjondalen are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Raufoss hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 57.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 53.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Raufoss holds the strongest overall chance at 54% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Raufoss
Probability
53.8%
Model confidence
53.8%
Raufoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60