Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Raufoss · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 3-1
Raufoss are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Lyn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyn hold a 6.3-point power-rating edge (69.0 v 75.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 50.6% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Raufoss holds the strongest overall chance at 51% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 82% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Raufoss
Probability
50.6%
Model confidence
50.6%
Raufoss has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 3 · avg 2.20/0.60
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80