Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Lyn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Raufoss are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLDLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Lyn are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLLWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Lyn hold a 4.4-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 37.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the 1. Division, while Lyn holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 76% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Lyn
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
Lyn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 12 · avg 0.80/2.40
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40