Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
hodd · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
Raufoss are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLWDL), averaging 1.40 scored and 3.00 conceded, while hodd are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and hodd hold an 18.7-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 51.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.0% in the 1. Division, while hodd holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 76% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
hodd
Probability
59.8%
Model confidence
9.0%
hodd has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 15 · avg 1.40/3.00
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80