Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Haugesund · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Raufoss are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWWLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Haugesund are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWDLW), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Haugesund hold a 34.5-point power-rating edge (33.2 v 67.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.5% in the 1. Division, while Haugesund holds the strongest overall chance at 76% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 90% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Haugesund
Probability
76.0%
Model confidence
8.5%
Haugesund has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 14 · GA 7 · avg 2.80/1.40