Rathfrilandvs
Newry City AFC
SCHEDULEDNorthern-Ireland · Championship · 8/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rathfriland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
Rathfriland are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Newry City AFC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rathfriland hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Championship, while Rathfriland holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rathfriland
Probability
63.8%
Model confidence
10.0%
Rathfriland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/2.50
GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40