GGOALVIO

Northern-Ireland · Championship · 8/15/2026, 4:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Rathfriland · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1

Lowconfidence

Rathfriland are 1W-0D-1L in their last 2 (WL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.50 conceded, while Newry City AFC are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 7 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Rathfriland hold a 14.4-point power-rating edge (50.0 v 35.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.0% in the Championship, while Rathfriland holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 66% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Rathfriland

Probability

63.8%

Model confidence

10.0%

Rathfriland has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

RathfrilandWL

GF 4 · GA 5 · avg 2.00/2.50

BTTS 2/2O2.5 2/2
Newry City AFCWLLLD

GF 6 · GA 12 · avg 1.20/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
RathfrilandNewry City AFC
50.0Attack40.4
50.0Defence31.6
50.0Form27.2
50.0Power35.6
2.36xG1.08
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