Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Stabaek · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Ranheim are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (LWLDW), averaging 2.20 scored and 2.40 conceded, while Stabaek are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WLWDW), averaging 1.80 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Stabaek hold a 23.1-point power-rating edge (48.6 v 71.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 68.2% in the 1. Division, while Stabaek holds the strongest overall chance at 68% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 92% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Stabaek
Probability
68.2%
Model confidence
68.2%
Stabaek has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 11 · GA 12 · avg 2.20/2.40
GF 9 · GA 4 · avg 1.80/0.80