Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Rangers · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Rangers are 0W-3D-2L in their last 5 (DLLDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while ST Mirren are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and Rangers hold an 11.8-point power-rating edge (89.2 v 77.4). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 42.4% in the League Cup, while Rangers holds the strongest overall chance at 42% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 66% BTTS chance and 64% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Rangers
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Rangers has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 11 · GA 4 · avg 2.20/0.80