Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hibernian · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5 · 1-1
Rangers are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (LDDWW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Hibernian are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hibernian hold a 16.5-point power-rating edge (36.5 v 53.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 13.6% in the Premiership, while Hibernian holds the strongest overall chance at 37% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 56% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hibernian
Probability
36.6%
Model confidence
13.6%
Hibernian has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 6 · avg 1.80/1.20
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40