GGOALVIO

Chile · Primera B · 4/13/2026, 12:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

San Marcos de Arica · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-1

Highconfidence

Rangers de Talca are 0W-1D-4L in their last 5 (LLLDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while San Marcos de Arica are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (WDDDD), averaging 0.80 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and San Marcos de Arica hold a 27.1-point power-rating edge (29.1 v 56.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 56.9% in the Primera B, while San Marcos de Arica holds the strongest overall chance at 57% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 26% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

San Marcos de Arica

Probability

56.9%

Model confidence

56.9%

San Marcos de Arica has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Rangers de TalcaLLLDL

GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
San Marcos de AricaWDDDD

GF 4 · GA 2 · avg 0.80/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 0/5
Rangers de TalcaSan Marcos de Arica
23.5Attack40.0
43.1Defence73.3
9.8Form50.0
29.1Power56.1
0.40xG1.35
View match centre →