Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Radcliffe · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Radcliffe are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLWWL), averaging 0.60 scored and 0.80 conceded, while Barrow are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WWLLL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Radcliffe hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (70.7 v 45.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.8% in the Friendlies Clubs, while Radcliffe holds the strongest overall chance at 56% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 61% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Radcliffe
Probability
56.4%
Model confidence
10.8%
Radcliffe has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 4 · avg 0.60/0.80
GF 8 · GA 11 · avg 1.60/2.20