Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Racing W are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.00 conceded, while HJK W are 5W-0D-0L in their last 5 (WWWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK W hold a 37.8-point power-rating edge (13.2 v 51.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.2% in the UEFA Champions League Women, while HJK W holds the strongest overall chance at 48% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 71% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK
Probability
48.4%
Model confidence
9.2%
HJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 10 · avg 2.00/2.00
GF 12 · GA 1 · avg 2.40/0.20